CBO 10-Year Economic Projections
CBO's latest 10-year baseline economic forecast, published with the Budget and Economic Outlook. ~145 macroeconomic variables: nominal and real GDP (and components), the unemployment rate, labor force and employment, CPI and PCE price indexes (headline and core), interest rates (fed funds, 3-month Treasury bill, 10-year Treasury note), incomes, and more — with derived growth rates (_pct_change) and GDP shares (_share_of_gdp). Each variable is published on three time bases, suffixed on the series id: .fy (fiscal year), .cy (calendar year), and .q (quarterly). Values are actuals through the last completed period and projections thereafter; titles carry the projection vintage.
In SQL, this dataset is the rows of cbo.series with dataset_code = 'economic_projections'.
Series
CBO Real GDP, percentage change (annual rate) — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
Percent · Quarterly · Not seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO Unemployment rate, civilian, 16+ — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
Percent · Quarterly · Not seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO CPI-U, percentage change — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
Percent · Quarterly · Not seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO Federal funds rate — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
Percent · Quarterly · Not seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO 10-Year Treasury note yield — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
Percent · Quarterly · Not seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO Real GDP — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
SAAR, Bil.Chn.2017.$ · Quarterly · Seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO Gross Domestic Product — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
SAAR, billions of dollars · Quarterly · Seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO GDP, percentage change (annual rate) — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
Percent · Quarterly · Not seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO Core PCE price index, percentage change — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
Percent · Quarterly · Not seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO PCE price index, percentage change — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
Percent · Quarterly · Not seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO Core CPI-U, percentage change — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
Percent · Quarterly · Not seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO CPI-U, all urban consumers — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
Index, 1982-84=100 · Quarterly · Not seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO 3-Month Treasury bill rate — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
Percent · Quarterly · Not seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO Employment, total nonfarm (establishment survey) — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
Millions · Quarterly · Not seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO Civilian labor force, 16+ (BLS basis) — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
Millions · Quarterly · Not seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO Labor force participation rate, 16+ (BLS basis) — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
Percent · Quarterly · Not seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO Nominal Potential GDP — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
billions of dollars · Quarterly · Not seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO Real Potential GDP — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
Bil.Chn.2017.$ · Quarterly · Not seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO Output Gap — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
Percent of potential GDP · Quarterly · Not seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO Noncyclical Rate of Unemployment — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
Percent · Quarterly · Not seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO Personal consumption expenditures (real) — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
SAAR, Bil.Chn.2017.$ · Quarterly · Seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO Nonresidential fixed investment (real) — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
SAAR, Bil.Chn.2017.$ · Quarterly · Seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO Residential fixed investment (real) — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
SAAR, Bil.Chn.2017.$ · Quarterly · Seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036
CBO Exports (real) — 10-Year Economic Projection (Quarterly, February 2026 vintage)
SAAR, Bil.Chn.2017.$ · Quarterly · Seasonally adjusted · 2023 to 2036