US Treasury yields, 19 Oct 2026: 10-year rises to 5.15% as long-term yields lead
The US 10-year Treasury yield rose 6 basis points (bp), or hundredths of a percentage point, to 5.15% on 19 October. That partly reverses last week's rally, and long-term yields rose more than short-term ones.
A data update from FactIQ, written from U.S. Department of the Treasury figures. What is FactIQ?
Key figures
- US 10-year Treasury yield, 19 October close
- 5.15%up 6bp from 5.09% on 16 Oct2026-08-112026-10-19Treasury Par Yield: 10 Yr
- US 30-year Treasury yield, 19 October close
- 5.48%up 5bp; well off the 5.67% close on 7 Oct2026-08-112026-10-19Treasury Par Yield: 30 Yr
- US 2-year Treasury yield, 19 October close
- 4.77%up 3bp; gap to the 10-year widened to 38bp2026-08-112026-10-19Treasury Par Yield: 2 Yr
- US total public debt outstanding, 16 October
- $40.388tnup about $216bn since the fiscal year ended on 30 Sep ($40.172tn)2026-08-102026-10-16Total Public Debt Outstanding (Debt to the Penny)
Long-term yields rose more than short-term yields
Treasury yields are the interest rates the US government pays to borrow. They set a floor for many other borrowing costs. At the 19 October close, yields rose by more on longer maturities than on shorter ones:- 10-year: 5.15%, up 6 basis points (bp) from 5.09% on 16 October.
- 20-year: 5.53%, up 6bp.
- 30-year: 5.48%, up 5bp.
- 5-year: 4.94%, up 5bp.
- 2-year: 4.77%, up 3bp.
The gap between the 2-year and 10-year yields widened to 38bp.
The rise came from longer bonds, not from short-term rate expectations
Yields on short-term Treasury bills barely moved. The 1-month bill stood at 4.11%, the 1.5-month bill at 4.14% and the 3-month bill at 4.27%. This suggests the move did not reflect changing bets on Federal Reserve policy. The rise partly undoes the 9bp drop in the 10-year yield on 15 October, when Treasuries rallied as AI stocks sold off.Yields remain below their early-October highs
The 10-year yield is still 16bp below its 5.31% close on 5 October. The 30-year yield remains well below its 5.67% close on 7 October.Federal debt held steady at $40.388 trillion
The Treasury's daily Debt to the Penny data show total public debt outstanding was $40.388 trillion (tn) on 16 October. That was down about $0.8 billion (bn) on the day. Debt had jumped about $59bn on 15 October, when mid-month coupon issuance settled. It is up about $216bn since the fiscal year ended on 30 September, when it stood at $40.172tn. Of the total, $32.532tn is held by the public and $7.855tn is intragovernmental holdings, meaning debt one part of the government owes to another.Source: U.S. Department of the Treasury. See all TREAS data in FactIQ.
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